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Individual player, doing GRs at a level where they get 12 legendaries per run and it takes them an average total of 3 minutes per GR, i.e. Versus a single player’s individual results, yes.īut, hey, let’s do some hypothetical maths…

It can occur for sure, but it may not appear again for a long while. When you merely find a few hundred items that is a mix of rares, magical, common and legendary/Set items know that sample size is too small and you shouldn’t expect a Primal all of a sudden. Knowing that Legendary/Set items are merely a 10% of the whole item pool you come across when looting for finding 400 of them, you need to go through a total of 4000 items at different grades at qualities at the first place. Average chance just tells you that it averages at that value as sample size grows, and sample is determined with legendary item count.

Then the real odds of finding a Primal may dawn on you.Īverage chance of finding a Primal at 1/400, doesn’t guarantee your 400th item to be a Primal there are odds that can be very specific in the process. So that means, when you roll a 10 faced dice for an item to be an Ancient, expect to roll another 40 faced dice for it to be Primal. Only 1/10th of Legendary or Set items will be Ancient quality and 1/400 to be a Primal quality while looting, gambling or upgrading.

Yet next May not arrive until you go through something specific like 534 or 467, which is larger than expected value. You can find a Primal after going through less than 370 legendary items after the previous one, and this indicates good luck. On a lucky streak you can score two primals or more in a single farming session, while finding nothing of value at the following twenty attempts of speed GRs. Expected values can be loose as a fifth of that value at average experience, sometimes more at polar opposites.